Is China Stealing Oil
I have been watching the commodity markets very closely. Over the previous few months, I’ve discovered one thing totally amazing. I think China is stealing oil…
“Actuality Test for China’s Impression on Crude”
“China Faces Unexpected Issues Drilling for Oil in Iraq – Farmers”
“China Wields Credit Clout Again to Lock in Brazilian Oil”
You probably have a web-based subscription to the Journal, check out these articles. You’ll also discover many extra on the same topic. Now a phrase of warning. This was only a small sampling. I may have gone on for several pages listing all the articles about China and commodities.
I’m concerned about what I’m studying – let me inform you why.
China is quietly slipping into bed with oil suppliers world wide. Not solely are they aggressively in search of oil in their very own country, they’re branching out. It is like a thick spider web of places around the globe.
China National Petroleum is drilling for oil in Iraq.
The Chinese language authorities is reducing long term provide deals in Brazil.
Additionally they lately invested $10 billion in Kazakhstan… and $25 billion more in Russia.
The listing goes on and on.
Here’s the scary half. Some of these investments carry mandatory provide agreements. For instance, in trade for the investment in Brazil, Petroleo Brasileiro (the government owned oil firm) is agreeing to send China oil.
A variety of oil. I am speaking a hundred and fifty,000 barrels a day for the first 12 months… then 200,000 barrels a day for the remainder of the ten yr contract.
Do you see what’s happening right here China’s utilizing current low prices (in the last few months) to scoop up additional oil provide on the cheap. They’re stealing oil supplies right out from beneath our nose. It is a brilliant transfer.
China realizes oil wells cannot be turned on like a mild swap. It could possibly take years to get them up and working – particularly these deep within the ocean. The low hanging fruit’s already been picked. All the straightforward oil is gone.
As demand starts selecting up, stockpiles will disappear… and prices are positive to rise.
China’s no dummy. They know before long, their financial system will likely be glowing red scorching again. They want a gradual provide of oil and now’s the time to cut those deals, lock in prices, and assure supply.
What’s all of it imply for us
Most certainly, it means higher oil and fuel costs in the long term. And worse case… we would see oil shortages. Are you able to envision a time when we’d like to attend in line to fill our tanks with gasoline It would even imply rationing.
There are a number of macro investments anybody can make to profit from China’s daring makes an o’rourke petroleum attempt to lock up oil supply.
Investing in oil is easy. You’ll be able to track the commodity itself with an oil ETF. It’s an important option to profit from rising Chinese language demand in the years forward.
Buying oil producers with confirmed reserves is one other good transfer. A few of these corporations even pay generous dividends… so that you get paid to hold your inventory. You may never go flawed there.
One different direction you’ll be able to go is different energy firms.
As oil prices move greater, the economics of alternative power turn into extra engaging. These firms will soon discover elevated demand for his or her products… and someday it will be the energy source out there. I’m carefully watching these corporations. I will let you understand once i discover something interesting.
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